It is no doubt that the global economy is one of the biggest victims of the coronavirus pandemic. The International Monetary Fund claims “that the world is facing its worst downturn since the Great Depression as shuttered factories, quarantines and national lockdowns cause economic output to collapse,”(Rappeport, Smialek). The original projection for the economy in 2020 was a 3.3 percent growth, but has been recently revised to project a 3 percent contraction. Compared to the last recession in 2008, which was a less than a one percent contraction, the one to come will be far more severe. The fact that a pandemic destroys the global economy so drastically has created an incentive among many companies and business to not let it happen again. There are many changes that businesses plan to exercise once this quarantine is over in order to protect against severe losses from an other pandemic. The general public should be prepared to see drastic changes to their working conditions.
For one, the nature of meetings in businesses will possibly be changed to not involve as much human-to-human contact. Rather than congregating in meeting rooms, “More meetings will become emails, and more emails will become instant messages,”(Connley, Hess, Liu). This would be beneficial due to the fact that all information can be instantly delivered to every recipient, and serve as a memory, incase any points from the meeting were forgotten. The downside to this, obviously, is the lack of human interaction, and more focus on individualism, rather than teamwork. However, due to the distance between workers, virtual meetings will be encouraged for team projects.
After the world has seen what mass congregation can do in terms of spreading a disease, it will be common to be more skeptical about human interaction. It will bring more fear than joy. For this reason, it is a possibility that more professions be replaced by computers, or at least people behind computers. We have been lucky in that “For a blessed century, Western cities have been healthy,”(Glaeser). In that time, we have not had to worry about how employees interact with patrons. For that reason, jobs like retail workers, waiters, and many more jobs that have high interpersonal contact are able to be held by humans. However, “If pandemics become the new normal, then tens of millions of urban service jobs will disappear,”(Glaeser). There is a real scary possibility that computers or robots replace those workers to decrease contact among people while also reducing the risk of failure for many small businesses.
However, during this pandemic, it has been observed that productivity goes up when working remotely. “A two-year study from the Stanford Graduate School of Business, which followed office workers at China’s largest travel agency, found that people who worked from home showed a 13% improvement in performance compared to those who worked in an office,”(Sweeney). It shows that remote workers work an average of 1.4 days more per week because they take small breaks which boosts productivity, (Sweeney). So, although there is a possibility of less work in office buildings and in retail, it is expected that productivity goes up when working remotely.
When the isolation from the coronavirus pandemic is over, we expect to still see some practices of social distancing still being enforced in the workplace. But, rather than having a workplace, many people will be living from home.
Works Cited
Alan Rappeport and Jeanna Smialek. “I.M.F. Predicts Worst Downturn Since the Great Depression.” The New York Times, The New York Times, 14 Apr. 2020, www.nytimes.com/2020/04/14/us/politics/coronavirus-economy-recession-depression.html.
Courtney Connley, Abigail Hess, and Jennifer Liu. “13 Ways the Coronavirus Pandemic Could Forever Change the Way We Work.” CNBC, CNBC, 29 Apr. 2020, www.cnbc.com/2020/04/29/how-the-coronavirus-pandemic-will-impact-the-future-of-work.html.
Glaeser, Edward. “How Life in Our Cities Will Look After the Coronavirus Pandemic.” Foreign Policy, 1 May 2020, https://foreignpolicy.com/2020/05/01/future-of-cities-urban-life-after-coronavirus-pandemic/.
Sweeney, Erica. “What If the Coronavirus Makes Us Work from Home Forever?” Money, 2 Apr. 2020, https://money.com/coronavirus-work-from-home-forever/
I really liked how your post was centered around the professional and work-related aspect of the COVID-19 pandemic. I thought it was an interesting aspect to research, and I’m glad that I was able to read your post. While I don’t think that pandemics will become the new normal and that a lot of retail and other jobs will be lost to computers or robots to decrease disease transmission, I do agree that the pandemic will result in many smaller changes to professional life. I have found that office hours through Zoom are really helpful, as I am able to conveniently join a meeting and ask even one simple question, as opposed to having to walk across campus to a professors office and plan out time in my day for this trip. I hope that colleges adopt more Zoom office hours moving forward from the pandemic. I also thought the information about productivity boosts as a result of taking breaks was really refreshing to hear. I hope that this information reaches large corporations and businesses so that they can start implementing similar measures once work returns to normal, as it is clearly benefitting both the employees and the businesses. Great post!
– Selma Cemerlic
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This was a very interesting perspective that I had not thought much about. It is already terrifying to see the unemployment rate grow every day on the news, and I am curious if after life returns to normal there will be a boom of hirings, or like you said, people will be replaced. As we have talked about in class before, it is kind of scary to see people’s dependence on technology grow each year, and I it would be safe to assume that this pandemic will only escalate that. I think you are right that people will certainly work from home more often and more remotely. My dad travels around the country for work meetings and already he is seeing a decrease in in-person appointments. Your piece was very eye opening about what kind of economy we may live in when this is over. Great use of your research too!
-Danielle Hoban
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I agree with what you wrote about many in-person meetings being transformed onto online. I think this quarantine has shown that not only are these virtual meetings cost efficient, they are also very efficient and productive. Regarding to what you said about many jobs being replaced by computers, I think that is very possible. What comes to my mind first is a place like McDonalds. With the kiosks where you can both order and pay, the need for someone working the counter decreases. After this pandemic, I would not be surprised if the demand for people at the register decreases even more.
Chris Metzler
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This was a very interesting topic surrounding COVID19 to me because I feel like it is not talked about as much. I am curious to see how this all plays out in reality since all we have at this point in time are expectations. I am sure this concept will decrease the amount of traveling that some jobs would typically require. Before reading your article, I hadn’t thought about the implications of AI taking over jobs for the purpose of reducing contact. Your post was very well put together and informative. Great job!
-Bel
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